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 Fertiliser prices still high, but why? 

Fertiliser prices still high, but why?

20/11/2008 12:33:00 PM
The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) does not yet have the evidence to do anything about alleged fertiliser price gouging, its chief executive officer, Brian Cassidy has told the Senate fertiliser price inquiry.

"I am just pleading for people to come and tell us," he said.

Clear examples of the huge gap between the world benchmark prices and what farmers are paying domestically for standard lines of fertiliser left representatives of the ACCC answering "I don't know" to many questions drilling down into whether there is collusion or an abuse of market power in the fertiliser industry.

The ACCC was called to give evidence to the special fertiliser inquiry last week following a report it tabled in August which found no reason to suspect anything odd going on with fertiliser prices, blaming the spike in the past 18 months on global supply and demand constraints rather than abuses of market power.

This is despite new evidence put to the committee on Friday which revealed world prices for products like urea and DAP have dipped below $US300.

Charlie McElhone, from the National Farmers Federation, told the inquiry last week world fertiliser prices, in particular urea, have gone down from about $US850 a tonne to below $300 a tonne since August this year.

"On the flip side…we are seeing no movement on the domestic market — if anything, we are actually seeing new record highs, particularly in some of our northern members’ production systems," Mr McElhone said.

"So there is no reflection of the actual decrease in the world price."

Mr McElhone said while there's been a depreciation of the Australian dollar of around 30pc recently, in that time there has also been a decrease in the world price of fertiliser by over 60pc.

"…even factoring in the exchange rate depreciation, if domestic prices were in line with world price movements the domestic price would be somewhere in the vicinity of $360 to $370 a tonne.

"Instead, what we are really talking about are prices of between $1,200 and $1,300 a tonne."

Senator Bill Heffernan, who chairs the Senate Select committee looking into the issue, backed up Mr McElhone's figures with some of his own for DAP, which he said was priced on the world market at the Australian equivalent of $365 a tonne, while domestically it could be found last week for just under $1700 a tonne.

"I think there is a culture within the fertiliser industry where we just believed what we were told," Senator Heffernan said.

"We would go in and order 50 tonnes at whatever the price was. You believed it and you got it—up until this year, that is.

"So we have that is, a problem.

"We have plenty of work to do in this committe.

"We are a long way from finished.

"There is a new phenomenon occurring in the market now — that is, price gouging on the way down as well as on the way up."

Senator Heffernan told the inquiry that at a recent conference in Sydney a fertiliser industry representative from the United States exclaimed "we got away with it last year".

He said the phrase used was "we put it up $100 a tonne a fortnight, several times more than the market would bear".

But despite claims by Senator Heffernan that 70pc of the sales of fertiliser and 100pc of the manufacture are controlled by one company, the ACCC insists there is no monopoly power at play in the Australian fertiliser industry.

The ACCC's general manager of mergers, acquisitions and sales Tim Grimwade, did concede, however, that Incitec Pivot does hold "substantial market share".

But ACCC chief executive officer, Brian Cassidy, said he does not agree with assertions that the ACCC does not have the power to do anything about concerns of market abuses.

"We do not have the evidence to do anything about it," Mr Cassidy said.

Earlier in the inquiry NFF illustrated "substantial market share" with examples where there may have been some diversity of fertiliser resellers in an area, but those resellers are often selling for the same supplier.

It outlined a case where there were five to 10 distributors working within the one region yet only one supplier was delivering to them.

NFF told the inquiry it would like to see more open, publicly available data on world price movements for fertiliser – mapped out against the exchange rate and factoring in the domestic market price.

"The ACCC has the power to get a balanced view of that across the whole of the country and to monitor that over time," Mr McElhone said.

"That is the only way that our members will have a real comfort moving forward so that we do not get those same kinds of breakaways from the international price movement."

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
What a totally irresponsible article. The price of DAP, MAP & urea has only seen a drastic fall in price on world markets over the past 4 to 6 weeks, depending on the product. It takes longer than that to get a bulk carrier here from most northern hemisphere ports, where the majority of imported fertiliser (imports constituting over 50% of Australia's usage) is manufactured! Articles such as this are only going to hurt competition in the fertiliser industry, the reason being that most of the smaller players rely on imported product 100%, and they will be carrying inventories purchased at higher market prices until it's all sold. Of course they can't afford to buy until they nearly clear current inventories, so shortages next year are going to be rife. Nice one QCL, you've just created a perception in the market place that's only going to hurt your readership.
Posted by JM on 20/11/2008 2:17:52 PM
JM, please declare your interest, I will declare mine. I am a grain grower who imported MAP from China earlier this year. I assume that bulk fertiliser must travel at a very different speed on the ocean compared to containers, as strangely we landed top quality (tested here independently) MAP for $A840 landed farm NSW, while the major was claiming international price rises were the cause of MAP ex Newcastle of $A1140 the same week.

Maybe the major monopoly we have on the east coast may have to do what farmers accept every day - that is that the world price today is the world price today. We will have our commodity priced on export parity tonight based largely on the international market, although the JM’s of the world would like farmers to carry the can when they get caught long. I assume that JM is in the fertiliser supply side. Growers need to realise that we don’t need the IPL’s of the world and embrace and support with our cheque books any new entrant into the fertiliser game, as well as import fert directly ourselves.

We have done it and it is not rocket science.

Posted by Graingrower on 20/11/2008 8:20:51 PM
Good call on the domestic front, JM. However, the big picture may be much scarier in light of recent media reports about the "world food crisis" and biofuel production now linking food prices with oil prices (egad!).

So fertiliser prices are now linked to oil prices as well (gadzooks!). The more pillaged from soil, the more nutrient input is required in each cycle to maintain productivity.

Sustainability is not about robbing Peter to pay Paul, or taking food from Peter's plate so Paul can drive his car.

The experts responsible for this mess have elevated biofuel to primary production from its more realistic position as an abundant by-product of life. Anything organic can convert to biofuel including trash (agricultural industrial and domestic) and even sewerage.

The experts can obfuscate it all they want, with cost-to-efficiency ratios and miscellaneous gobbledygook, but cannot deny this fact of nature. We are flat out feeding the world in a deteriorating environment, yet the experts want to rape food production rather than pushing for more logical and sustainable alternatives, like recycling organic waste for biofuel and fertiliser. Banning biofuel production from commodity crops and pointing the experts back in the direction of sustainability seems more prudent than starving people and robbing farmers so we can feel better about driving our cars.

Posted by AgriMarketer on 21/11/2008 4:18:52 AM
There are three pages to the article which should be read to form a learned opinion. Apparent price gouging in some of the commodities has forced up prices, causing higher inflation.

It is the market power/stranglehold that some industries have that has to be investigated, to keep price rises in moderation

Posted by JS on 21/11/2008 7:29:14 AM
If today a market player was to import a boat load of urea, it woulld cost the individual over $700 per tonne when freight and the lower $A is taken into account. That is not taking into account margin or freight up country.

Farmer lobby groups are full of educated people - they could do us farmers some justice by making educated comment rather than shooting off the hip.

Get out your calculator, QCL, before publishing sensationalist stories - as JM says, it will only hurt the uninformed and their relationships with their suppliers

Posted by YN on 21/11/2008 8:23:48 AM
Lucy, you deserve a better answer to the questions you raised than the old petroleum industry/banking industry response, as JM says, that when prices are on the increase the effect is immediate but when they are falling the same principle does not apply.

Cost of inventories works both ways, JM. What of the windfall of rising prices. All forgotten?

Posted by Lloyd on 21/11/2008 9:43:34 AM
JM, you converniently ignore that fertiliser prices in Australia, on average and on a like-for-like basis, are always significantly higher than overseas prices. You are also well aware that there is little competition in the Australian market. The two may go hand in hand.
Posted by terry on 21/11/2008 1:57:18 PM
Why doesn't the ACCC go out and try and buy a shipload of fertiliser and see how much it has to pay? Then it will truly know by how much we are being ripped off. Sure, there is a lag time from one shipping port to another but, hey, if they can put the price of super up by five times the amount in such a short space of time and post mega profits why can't they bring down the price as quickly? The world is screaming out that governments have made big mistakes in neglecting regulation. Perhaps, a big perhaps, that's the reason we are in the financial crisis now. ABB, AWB, AUSBULK......all deregulated hung out to let the vultures of big business to pick the carcass clean. This is why we are paying big prices for fertilizer and chemicals...ABB and AWB's merchandise arms of business are posting massive profits. Why doesn't the ACCC find out where these profits are coming from and then they will see how much is fertilizer and chemical profit.
Posted by gerti on 21/11/2008 3:20:36 PM
JM, Stuart the graingrower here, still waiting to see your reply Re declaring your interest. I suspect you work for IPL although I am happy to be corrected.
Posted by Graingrower on 27/11/2008 7:37:10 AM
Hi Stuart the Graingrower. You'll be happy to be corrected: I do not work for IPL, but do import fertiliser on a small scale as well as have interests in grain and cotton farming operations.

The freight issue first. I import a lot of containers from China every year. The best time I have ever achieved from faxing an order to landing product on the floor of the shed is about 7 weeks - it sounds like you have done better so maybe I should get some tips. I have never moved bulk cargo, but considering the process of booking an entire ship, securing a loading slot, sailing, customs clearing, and then unloading 25,000 tonnes into a port facility... I'm guessing this process takes at least 6 weeks. So, in theory you could indeed have the cheapest urea / DAP in Australia right now assuming your timing is impeccable and you had your ship organised for loading the minute the price reached its bottom - provided you didn't have a price contract arranged first at a higher price and all of your current floor stock is sold.

Now the price itself. On the world spot market the cheapest urea at present is around $240 USD FOB (free on board). Add about $50 USD for freight and you have a CFR price of $290 USD delivered to an Australian port. Divide that by 0.65 which is the current exchange rate and you get $446. Add about $80 per tonne to clear the cargo through customs and load the product into your port facility and you have $526. Add a gross operating margin of say 10% (which includes storage costs) and you have a price of approximately $580 + GST assuming everything has gone seamlessly. The price in reality is more likely to be closer to $650 + GST as there are always hitches. So say a big thankyou to Charlie McElhone for creating a price perception that is not possible.

Do the same maths with DAP where the best reported spot price is $460 USD FOB from Russia and you get approximately $950 + GST. Say a big thankyou to Mr Heffernan for getting everyones hopes up on that one.

Trust me, there is no monopoly on fertiliser in Australia - you've proved it yourself with your purchase of MAP. Furthermore, 'the JMs of the world' have no interest in farmers struggling, otherwise we would be out of business. What I do have an interest in is a healthy level of competition in the fertiliser market. Read my comment again and you will see that is the point I was making.

Posted by JM on 27/11/2008 12:04:25 PM
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11/12/2008 | Farm lobby groups will decide next week whether the future of farm representation will stay as it is or be broadened to bring in the big end of town.
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